Pertanyaan yang diberi tag garch

Model untuk deret waktu dengan varians bersyarat yang berubah-ubah dan berkorelasi otomatis.

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Apa perbedaan antara GARCH dan ARMA?

Saya bingung. Saya tidak mengerti perbedaan antara ARMA dan proses GARCH .. bagi saya ada yang sama? Inilah proses (G) ARCH (p, q) σ2t=α0+∑i=1qαir2t−iARCH+∑i=1pβiσ2t−iGARCHσt2=α0+∑i=1qαirt−i2⏟ARCH+∑i=1pβiσt−i2⏟GARCH\sigma_t^2 =...

arima garch finance
14
Bagaimana cara mengartikan parameter GARCH?

Saya menggunakan model GARCH standar: rtσ2t=σtϵt=γ0+γ1r2t−1+δ1σ2t−1rt=σtϵtσt2=γ0+γ1rt−12+δ1σt−12\begin{align} r_t&=\sigma_t\epsilon_t\\ \sigma^2_t&=\gamma_0 + \gamma_1 r_{t-1}^2 + \delta_1 \sigma^2_{t-1} \end{align} Saya memiliki perkiraan koefisien yang berbeda dan saya perlu menafsirkannya....

interpretation garch
13
Paket GBM vs. Caret menggunakan GBM

Saya telah menggunakan model tuning caret, tetapi kemudian menjalankan kembali model menggunakan gbmpaket. Ini adalah pemahaman saya bahwa caretpaket menggunakan gbmdan hasilnya harus sama. Namun, hanya menjalankan tes cepat menggunakan data(iris)menunjukkan perbedaan dalam model sekitar 5%...

r caret gbm matrix linear-algebra logistic modeling logit ordered-logit r confidence-interval survival population weibull classification separation hypothesis-testing correlation statistical-significance p-value python r data-visualization r regression multiple-regression chi-squared multivariate-analysis distributions random-variable experiment-design distributions poisson-regression residuals excel time-series garch var survival modeling cox-model interaction r pca normality-assumption
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Jika

Saya menemukan bukti untuk salah satu sifat dari model ARCH yang mengatakan bahwa jika E(X2t)<∞E(Xt2)<∞\mathbb{E}(X_t^2) < \infty , maka {Xt}{Xt}\{X_t\} adalah stasioner iff ∑pi=1bi<1∑i=1pbi<1\sum_{i=1}^pb_i < 1 mana model ARCH adalah: Xt=σtϵtXt=σtϵtX_t = \sigma_t\epsilon_t...

mathematical-statistics stationarity garch
12
Bagaimana cara melakukan imputasi nilai dalam jumlah poin data yang sangat besar?

Saya memiliki dataset yang sangat besar dan sekitar 5% nilai acak hilang. Variabel-variabel ini berkorelasi satu sama lain. Contoh berikut dataset R hanyalah contoh mainan dengan data berkorelasi dummy. set.seed(123) # matrix of X variable xmat <- matrix(sample(-1:1, 2000000, replace = TRUE),...

r random-forest missing-data data-imputation multiple-imputation large-data definition moving-window self-study categorical-data econometrics standard-error regression-coefficients normal-distribution pdf lognormal regression python scikit-learn interpolation r self-study poisson-distribution chi-squared matlab matrix r modeling multinomial mlogit choice monte-carlo indicator-function r aic garch likelihood r regression repeated-measures simulation multilevel-analysis chi-squared expected-value multinomial yates-correction classification regression self-study repeated-measures references residuals confidence-interval bootstrap normality-assumption resampling entropy cauchy clustering k-means r clustering categorical-data continuous-data r hypothesis-testing nonparametric probability bayesian pdf distributions exponential repeated-measures random-effects-model non-independent regression error regression-to-the-mean correlation group-differences post-hoc neural-networks r time-series t-test p-value normalization probability moments mgf time-series model seasonality r anova generalized-linear-model proportion percentage nonparametric ranks weighted-regression variogram classification neural-networks fuzzy variance dimensionality-reduction confidence-interval proportion z-test r self-study pdf
11
R / mgcv: Mengapa produk tensor () dan ti () menghasilkan permukaan yang berbeda?

The mgcvpaket untuk Rmemiliki dua fungsi untuk pas interaksi produk tensor: te()dan ti(). Saya memahami pembagian kerja dasar antara keduanya (menyesuaikan interaksi non-linear vs menguraikan interaksi ini menjadi efek utama dan interaksi). Yang tidak saya mengerti adalah mengapa te(x1, x2)dan...

r gam mgcv conditional-probability mixed-model references bayesian estimation conditional-probability machine-learning optimization gradient-descent r hypothesis-testing wilcoxon-mann-whitney time-series bayesian inference change-point time-series anova repeated-measures statistical-significance bayesian contingency-tables regression prediction quantiles classification auc k-means scikit-learn regression spatial circular-statistics t-test effect-size cohens-d r cross-validation feature-selection caret machine-learning modeling python optimization frequentist correlation sample-size normalization group-differences heteroscedasticity independence generalized-least-squares lme4-nlme references mcmc metropolis-hastings optimization r logistic feature-selection separation clustering k-means normal-distribution gaussian-mixture kullback-leibler java spark-mllib data-visualization categorical-data barplot hypothesis-testing statistical-significance chi-squared type-i-and-ii-errors pca scikit-learn conditional-expectation statistical-significance meta-analysis intuition r time-series multivariate-analysis garch machine-learning classification data-mining missing-data cart regression cross-validation matrix-decomposition categorical-data repeated-measures chi-squared assumptions contingency-tables prediction binary-data trend test-for-trend matrix-inverse anova categorical-data regression-coefficients standard-error r distributions exponential interarrival-time copula log-likelihood time-series forecasting prediction-interval mean standard-error meta-analysis meta-regression network-meta-analysis systematic-review normal-distribution multiple-regression generalized-linear-model poisson-distribution poisson-regression r sas cohens-kappa
10
Fit a GARCH (1,1) - model dengan kovariat di R

Saya memiliki beberapa pengalaman dengan pemodelan deret waktu, dalam bentuk model ARIMA sederhana dan sebagainya. Sekarang saya memiliki beberapa data yang menunjukkan pengelompokan volatilitas, dan saya ingin mencoba memulai dengan memasang model GARCH (1,1) pada data. Saya memiliki serangkaian...

r regression garch
8
Post hoc test dalam ANOVA desain campuran 2x3 menggunakan SPSS?

Saya memiliki dua kelompok yang terdiri dari 10 peserta yang dinilai tiga kali selama percobaan. Untuk menguji perbedaan antara kelompok dan di tiga penilaian, saya menjalankan ANOVA desain campuran 2x3 dengan group(kontrol, eksperimental), time(pertama, kedua, tiga), dan group x time. Keduanya...

anova mixed-model spss post-hoc bonferroni time-series unevenly-spaced-time-series classification normal-distribution discriminant-analysis probability normal-distribution estimation sampling classification svm terminology pivot-table random-generation self-study estimation sampling estimation categorical-data maximum-likelihood excel least-squares instrumental-variables 2sls total-least-squares correlation self-study variance unbiased-estimator bayesian mixed-model ancova statistical-significance references p-value fishers-exact probability monte-carlo particle-filter logistic predictive-models modeling interaction survey hypothesis-testing multiple-regression regression variance data-transformation residuals minitab r time-series forecasting arima garch correlation estimation least-squares bias pca predictive-models genetics sem partial-least-squares nonparametric ordinal-data wilcoxon-mann-whitney bonferroni wilcoxon-signed-rank traminer regression econometrics standard-error robust misspecification r probability logistic generalized-linear-model r-squared effect-size gee ordered-logit bayesian classification svm kernel-trick nonlinear bayesian pca dimensionality-reduction eigenvalues probability distributions mathematical-statistics estimation nonparametric kernel-smoothing expected-value filter mse time-series correlation data-visualization clustering estimation predictive-models recommender-system sparse hypothesis-testing data-transformation parametric probability summations correlation pearson-r spearman-rho bayesian replicability dimensionality-reduction discriminant-analysis outliers weka
8
Mengapa model statistik cocok jika diberi set data yang sangat besar?

Proyek saya saat ini mungkin mengharuskan saya untuk membuat model untuk memprediksi perilaku sekelompok orang tertentu. set data pelatihan hanya berisi 6 variabel (id hanya untuk tujuan identifikasi): id, age, income, gender, job category, monthly spend di mana monthly spendadalah variabel...

modeling large-data overfitting clustering algorithms error spatial r regression predictive-models linear-model average measurement-error weighted-mean error-propagation python standard-error weighted-regression hypothesis-testing time-series machine-learning self-study arima regression correlation anova statistical-significance excel r regression distributions statistical-significance contingency-tables regression optimization measurement-error loss-functions image-processing java panel-data probability conditional-probability r lme4-nlme model-comparison time-series probability probability conditional-probability logistic multiple-regression model-selection r regression model-based-clustering svm feature-selection feature-construction time-series forecasting stationarity r distributions bootstrap r distributions estimation maximum-likelihood garch references probability conditional-probability regression logistic regression-coefficients model-comparison confidence-interval r regression r generalized-linear-model outliers robust regression classification categorical-data r association-rules machine-learning distributions posterior likelihood r hypothesis-testing normality-assumption missing-data convergence expectation-maximization regression self-study categorical-data regression simulation regression self-study self-study gamma-distribution modeling microarray synthetic-data